President Donald Trump posted Sunday morning that Russia and Ukraine had agreed to an "ENERGY CEASEFIRE," effective immediately. He gave no details in the post. A White House official later told Axios it referred to a possible deal that includes both sides halting attacks on oil refineries. Moscow hadn't commented on the announcement as of Sunday evening. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said the announcement was "news for me" and that Ukraine will agree if Russia does. He said Russia hit a power plant in Kyiv and energy sites in the Kharkiv region after Trump's post. Trump made a similar announcement on Sept. 14, and both countries kept striking each other's energy sites afterward. Sunday's post came two days after Trump's deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin for Russian diesel.

1. Ukraine Is the Holdout, and It Has to Stop Hitting Refineries (Trump, the White House, Bessent, Barrasso, Emmer)

Trump says Zelensky keeps passing up deals and is causing diesel problems for American farmers.

Ukraine's president keeps passing up deals, Trump says. Trump told reporters Saturday that Zelensky "could have settled this war many times, many, many times, and he chooses not to." He said Ukraine should "get a new leader who can make a deal."

Trump says the refinery strikes hurt American farmers. He said he told Zelensky to hit any target he wanted except refineries. He said Zelensky "wants to make problems for our farmers, our ranchers, with diesel fuel." "So he'd better damn well stop," Trump said.

The White House expects Kyiv to go along. A White House official told Axios that Trump expects Zelensky to abide by the proposed deal, which the official called "refinery for refinery." If refinery strikes stop, a deal on power plants and grids could come next, the official said. "Trump is really mad. He feels Zelensky is taking the U.S. for granted," the official said.

Trump's allies defend the diesel deal. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said European complaints about it are "completely hypocritical." Senate Majority Whip John Barrasso, a Wyoming Republican, told CBS the president "is balancing and has to make tough decisions." House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, a Minnesota Republican, called the deal "another example of our president thinking out of the box."

2. But Kyiv Says It Will Agree, and Russia Keeps Striking (Zelensky, Sybiha)

Ukraine says it'll stop hitting Russian refineries as soon as Russia stops hitting Ukraine's power grid.

Ukraine will sign on the moment Russia does. "If President Trump negotiated it with Putin -- please tell us when the ceasefire begins -- we are ready and we will accept it," Zelensky told Axios. Earlier Sunday, he said any truce has to run both ways and come with "real guarantees."

Kyiv says a refinery-only deal doesn't help Ukraine. A Ukrainian official told Axios that Ukraine has a single oil refinery, which Russia has hit several times and which isn't fully working. Russia has a vast network of refineries, Axios noted. "What we need is for the Russians to stop attacking our electricity grid," the official said.

Russia struck again after the post, Ukraine says. Zelensky said a Russian drone hit a power plant in Kyiv, and then Russia struck energy sites in the Kharkiv region. "And this was AFTER the statement by the president of the United States about an energy cease-fire," he wrote.

Ukrainians choose their own president. "With all respect to President Trump, it's up to our society, up to our people to choose one or another leader," Zelensky told ABC. He offered to hold elections if Russia agrees to a 60-day total ceasefire. Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha said Zelensky "has the support of the Ukrainian people."

3. And Allies Back the Truce, but Want More Pressure on Putin (Burnham, Macron, Carney, Wadephul, Tusk)

European and Canadian leaders welcome the ceasefire and stand by Zelensky. They say Russia is the one refusing it.

Allies say an energy truce would save lives. British Prime Minister Andy Burnham said the U.K. "strongly supports President Trump's call today for a sustained energy cease-fire to start now." Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said it "has the potential to significantly de-escalate the war and protect thousands of civilians."

Allies say Russia is the side saying no. In a Wall Street Journal translation, French President Emmanuel Macron said Russia "continues to refuse it by intensifying its strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure." Burnham said Russia stepped up its strikes on Ukraine's energy system over the weekend.

Allies want the pressure on Putin, and they stand by Zelensky. Responding to Trump's call to replace Zelensky, German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul said, "We don't need less pressure, we need more pressure on Putin to make him be ready to negotiate." Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk wrote that "nothing and no one will break Ukraine and its President."

4. Still, Moscow Hasn't Said Yes, and Skeptics Doubt It Will (Ananskikh, Peskov, Breedlove)

Russian officials sound doubtful, and a former NATO commander says Russia doesn't keep its promises.

Russian officials sound doubtful. Igor Ananskikh, a senior member of the Russian parliament's energy committee, said after the post that "Trump often says things to keep oil prices from rising." "I don't know how closely this reflects reality," he said.

Moscow wants something in return. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Thursday that Russia sees no point in an energy-only ceasefire. The Kyiv Independent reported that Russia has privately asked for U.S. sanctions relief as part of any energy truce. Even the White House official told Axios only that "the Russians are thinking about" it.

Skeptics say Russia doesn't keep these promises. "Russia has never kept a promise to this president in this war," retired Gen. Philip Breedlove, a former NATO supreme commander, told Fox News Digital. After Trump's Sept. 14 announcement, both sides kept hitting energy targets.

Where This Lands

Trump says Zelensky keeps passing up deals and needs to stop hitting Russian refineries. Zelensky says Ukraine will stop as soon as Russia does. He says Russia hit a Kyiv power plant and Kharkiv energy sites after Trump's post. Leaders in Britain, France and Canada back the truce. Germany wants more pressure on Putin, and Poland stands by Zelensky. Russia hasn't said it agreed to anything. Zelensky says Ukraine is still waiting for details from Washington.

Sources